User Playbook

Understanding how Fintech Signals works

1 What is Fintech Signals?

Fintech Signals is an End-of-Day (EOD) Swing Trading Scanner designed to identify high-probability trading setups. Unlike real-time trading systems, our signals are generated after market close, making them ideal for investors who prefer a more deliberate approach to trading.

Key Philosophy

"Sniper-style" trading — we prioritize high win rate over high frequency. Expect more WAIT signals than action signals, as the system only triggers when multiple conditions align.

2 Signal Generation: Veto System

Unlike traditional systems that average indicators, Fintech Signals uses a Veto System — a layered approach where any critical layer can reject (veto) a signal.

Layer 0 Macro Filter

Market environment check. For US markets: VIX must be below 25 and SPY above its 20-day moving average. For Taiwan: TWII must be above its 20-day MA. If conditions are unfavorable, all signals are forced to WAIT.

Layer 1 SMC Direction

Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure analysis. Identifies market structure through swing points and break of structure (BOS). A bearish structure vetoes all LONG signals; a bullish structure vetoes all SHORT signals.

Layer 2 Squeeze Timing

Volatility compression detection using Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. When "Squeeze ON" (BB inside KC), the system waits for volatility release before generating signals.

Layer 3 Combined Score

Final scoring combines SMC, Squeeze momentum, and institutional flow (Taiwan) or volume profile (US). Score ranges from -100 to +100, determining signal confidence.

Score Calculation (-100 to +100)

The final score is calculated by combining three components with different weights:

SMC (Structure) 40% weight

BULLISH = +40 pts, BEARISH = -40 pts, NEUTRAL = 0 pts

Squeeze Momentum 30% weight

Raw momentum × 3, capped at ±30 pts

Institutional Flow 30% weight

Chip score × 0.3, max ±30 pts (TW: institutional, US: volume profile + insider)

Score Interpretation

+70 to +100 Strong Bullish
+40 to +69 Moderate Bullish
+20 to +39 Weak Bullish
-19 to +19 Neutral
-39 to -20 Weak Bearish
-100 to -40 Strong Bearish

Signal Directions

LONG

Bullish setup confirmed

SHORT

Bearish setup confirmed

WAIT

Conditions not aligned

3 Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTF)

The system analyzes four timeframes to confirm trend alignment. Clicking each timeframe button in the signal modal switches the chart view.

Weekly 1W

Long-term trend

Daily 1D

Primary signal

4 Hour 4H

Entry timing

Hourly 1H

Fine-tuning

MTF Alignment Categories

STRONG All timeframes agree — highest confidence
MODERATE Most timeframes agree — standard confidence
WEAK Mixed signals — lower confidence
DIVERGENT Timeframes conflict — proceed with caution

4 Trade Setup

When a LONG or SHORT signal is generated, the system provides specific trade parameters:

Entry Zone

The recommended price range for entering the trade. Based on Order Block levels or ATR calculations.

Stop Loss

The price level to exit if the trade moves against you. Typically set at Entry Zone minus 1 ATR.

Take Profit 1

First profit target at 1.5x the risk distance. Consider taking partial profits here.

Take Profit 2

Second profit target at 2.5x the risk distance. For runners and extended moves.

Invalidation Level

The price level where the trade thesis is completely invalid. Usually placed below the recent swing low (for LONG) or above swing high (for SHORT). If price reaches this level, the original setup is no longer valid regardless of stop loss.

Risk/Reward Ratio

Shows the potential reward relative to risk. A ratio of 2.0 means you could make 2x what you risk. Generally, look for setups with R:R of 1.5 or higher.

Advanced Risk Metrics

Risk Premium

The expected return over risk as a percentage: ((TP2 - Entry) / (Entry - SL) - 1) × 100%

Example: If Risk Premium is 150%, you're targeting 2.5x your risk (1 + 1.5). Higher values indicate better potential returns relative to the risk taken.

Recommended Risk

Suggested position risk as a percentage of your portfolio (0.25% - 2.0%).

Based on signal confidence and R:R ratio. HIGH confidence signals with better R:R may suggest higher risk allocation (1.5-2%), while MEDIUM/LOW confidence suggests more conservative sizing (0.25-1%).

5 Price Zone (Premium/Discount)

The Price Zone indicator shows where the current price sits within the recent swing range, helping identify optimal entry points.

Discount

0-50% of range

Favorable for LONG

Equilibrium

40-60% of range

Fair value zone

Premium

50-100% of range

Favorable for SHORT

Zone Position %

Shows the current price position as a percentage between the recent swing low (0%) and swing high (100%).

Formula:

Zone % = (Current Price - Swing Low) / (Swing High - Swing Low) × 100

Zone Quality Tags

The system automatically evaluates whether your position is in a favorable zone:

ZONE_FAVORABLE Good entry cost
ZONE_UNFAVORABLE Consider waiting

6 Technical Indicators

These indicators are shown for reference only — they do not affect the signal generation.

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

Measures momentum on a 0-100 scale. Traditionally, above 70 = overbought, below 30 = oversold.

> 70 Overbought 30-70 Neutral < 30 Oversold

ADX (Average Directional Index)

Measures trend strength regardless of direction. Higher values indicate stronger trends.

> 25 Trending < 25 Ranging

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

Shows trend direction and momentum. Golden cross (bullish) when MACD crosses above signal line; death cross (bearish) when it crosses below.

Golden Cross Death Cross

7 Flow Analysis

Different markets use different flow indicators to track smart money movement.

🇹🇼 Taiwan: Institutional Flow

Three major institutional investors tracked: Foreign Investors (外資), Investment Trusts (投信), and Proprietary Dealers (自營商).

Foreign (外資) 70% weight
Trusts (投信) 30% weight

🇺🇸 US: Insider Trading (SEC Form 4)

Tracks insider transactions reported to the SEC within the past 90 days. Buy/sell activity from executives (CEO, CFO) carries higher weight than directors.

Score Range -100 to +100
Bullish Threshold ≥ +30
Bearish Threshold ≤ -30

* Recent 30 days: full weight (1x) | 30-90 days: half weight (0.5x)
* Selling is discounted (0.5x) as insiders sell for various reasons

📊 Volume Profile

For US stocks, volume profile analysis identifies price levels with significant trading activity (POC, Value Area). Price above POC is generally bullish; below POC is bearish.

8 Fundamentals

Basic fundamental data is shown for context only. The signal system is primarily technical.

P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)

Current stock price divided by earnings per share. Lower values may indicate undervaluation.

< 15 Low 15-30 Normal > 50 High

Forward P/E

P/E ratio based on estimated future earnings. Useful for comparing current valuation to expected growth.

Revenue Growth

Year-over-year revenue growth rate. Positive growth indicates expanding business.

> 20% Strong < 0% Declining

EPS Growth

Earnings per share growth rate. Shows profitability trend over time.

P/B Ratio (Price-to-Book)

Stock price relative to book value per share. Values below 1 may indicate undervaluation.

Profit Margin

Net income as a percentage of revenue. Higher margins indicate better profitability.

Sector

The industry sector the stock belongs to (e.g., Technology, Healthcare, Finance). Sector context helps understand market dynamics and correlation risks.

9 Next-Day Outlook

The Next-Day Outlook provides a short-term forecast for the following trading session based on the current signal analysis, helping users understand the near-term directional bias and key levels to watch.

Important Note

The Next-Day Outlook is a supplementary short-term reference only and does not affect the primary signal direction. It is based on intraday technical structure and is not a guarantee of next-day price action.

Bias

BULLISH

Structure favors upside next session

NEUTRAL

No clear direction, range-bound expected

BEARISH

Structure favors downside next session

Confidence %

Reflects how reliable the next-day forecast is, determined by multi-timeframe structure alignment and momentum indicators.

75-100% High confidence — multiple indicators aligned
50-74% Medium confidence — primary indicators confirmed
35-49% Low confidence — indicators diverging, direction unclear

Expected Range

The anticipated high and low price range for the next session, calculated using ATR (Average True Range). Higher confidence produces tighter ranges; lower confidence produces wider ones.

Key Level

The most important technical level to watch next session — sourced from FVG (Fair Value Gap), Order Blocks, or swing highs/lows. A price breach of this level often signals an intraday directional shift.

Key Level Types

FVG Support Fair Value Gap acting as support — price may bounce if retested
FVG Resistance Fair Value Gap acting as resistance — selling pressure may emerge near this level
Order Block Institutional order concentration zone — significant support or resistance
Swing Level Recent Swing High / Swing Low — structural pivot point

10 Disclaimer

This is not financial advice. The signals provided are for educational and informational purposes only.

Trading stocks, futures, and other financial instruments involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Always do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

The creators of Fintech Signals are not responsible for any trading losses incurred from using this system.